ALV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$128.53
-0.67 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+5.89%
90d:
+24.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$189.10
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $128.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.46 to $128.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $132.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $132.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$117.46 -
$128.06
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($132.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$117.46 -
$128.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.44
Resistance Level
$132.17
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.76
Wall Street Target
$132.18
(+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.97
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$133.46
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$136.00
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$128.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.5%)
$392.83
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 14.5%)
$192.82
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$163.89
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.29
Bull Case
$182.75
(+42%)
Analyst growth 28.6%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$166.14
(+29%)
Market implied 28.6%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$87.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 12, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Franz-Josef Kortuem
SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-26
Magnus Jarlegren
SELL
1598 shares
2026-02-25
Christian Swahn
SELL
1478 shares
2026-02-24
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