ALV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$122.36
0.62 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
+0.39%
90d:
+1.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$190.63
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $122.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.36 to $123.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $120.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.71 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $120.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.71 (+10.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$118.36 -
$123.71
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($134.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.36 -
$123.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.36
Resistance Level
$126.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.37
Wall Street Target
$134.71
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.22
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$124.08
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$124.95
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$122.95
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$366.76
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$187.93
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$159.74
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.40
Bull Case
$188.18
(+54%)
Analyst growth 40.5%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$171.08
(+40%)
Market implied 40.5%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$82.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-26
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SELL
1598 shares
2026-02-25
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SELL
1478 shares
2026-02-24
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