ASTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASTL - Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
$4.91
-0.02 (-0.41%) ▼
5d: +4.91%
30d: -5.76%
90d: +31.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASTL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASTL is currently trading at $4.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.79 to $5.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -1.9) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASTL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.54, while resistance sits at $5.74.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+307.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $4.79 - $5.43
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 307.3% below Wall St target ($20.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.79 - $5.43
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.33 (6.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.54
Resistance Level $5.74
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 16, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -1.87
Wall Street Target $20.00 (+307.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -42.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -93.0%
Profit Margin -60.0%
PE vs Historical -1.9 vs 15.7 CHEAP
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Last updated: June 16, 2026 11:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ASTL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASTL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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