CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$13.37
-0.36 (-2.62%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.79%
30d:
+8.17%
90d:
+19.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.72
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $13.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.80 to $13.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAL scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CAL scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.80 -
$13.93
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.4% growth expectation is conservative given 104% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.80 -
$13.93
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.19
Resistance Level
$14.93
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 7.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.09
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$14.85
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$15.66
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.29
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 185.5%)
$103.32
(+673%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 185.5%)
$45.12
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 185.5%)
$38.31
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 17, 2026 5:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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