Caleres (CAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$13.14
0.90 (7.35%)
▲
5d:
+5.71%
30d:
+9.32%
90d:
+10.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CAL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.09
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $13.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.02 to $12.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAL scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+29.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAL scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+29.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.02 -
$12.59
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
34.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.4% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.02 -
$12.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.82
Resistance Level
$13.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.68
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+29.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
761.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.68
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$14.24
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$14.82
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 185.5%)
$101.43
(+672%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 185.5%)
$44.35
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 185.5%)
$37.70
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$13.40
(+2%)
Analyst growth -0.4%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$12.19
(-7%)
Market implied -0.4%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$8.32
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 16, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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