Carnival (CCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCL - Carnival Corporation
$25.97
-0.76 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
-0.69%
30d:
+17.46%
90d:
-3.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CCL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.76
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $25.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.05 to $25.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.52, while resistance sits at $26.86.
Market Sentiment: CCL scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.89 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.52, while resistance sits at $26.86.
Market Sentiment: CCL scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.89 (+30.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.05 -
$25.73
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.5% below Wall St target ($33.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.05 -
$25.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.52
Resistance Level
$26.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.14
Wall Street Target
$33.89
(+30.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.81
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$25.66
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$25.51
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$25.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$73.83
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.2%)
$37.70
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 13.2%)
$32.04
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$33.17
(+28%)
Analyst growth 12.8%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$30.16
(+16%)
Market implied 12.8%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$18.18
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$26.38
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 15, 2026 6:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced CCL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.
