Is CCL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CCL is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CCL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CCL to be between $26.23 and $28.47. The current price is $28.12.

What is the analyst price target for CCL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CCL is $35.55. This implies a potential upside of 26.4% from current levels.

CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCL - Carnival Corporation

WATER TRANSPORTATION

$28.12

-0.30 (-1.06%) ▼

5d: -3.0%

30d: +4.69%

90d: +11.59%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your CCL Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $28.27 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026

Strength: 9.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 17.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$46.47

Based on 10.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$28.86

2.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $28.12, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.23 to $28.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.55 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $26.23 - $28.47

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($35.55)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 5.3% revenue growth
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.23 - $28.47

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.48

Resistance Level $30.22

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.66

Wall Street Target $35.55 (+26.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.5%

Profit Margin 11.2%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium

PE vs Historical 10.7 vs 10.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $28.20 (+0%)

2-Year Target $28.29 (+1%)

3-Year Target $28.37 (+1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $28.21 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.6%) $86.70 (+208%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 17.6%) $45.69 (+63%)

Bear: (PE: 9.1, Growth: 17.6%) $38.83 (+38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 12.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28

Bull Case $36.17 (+29%)

Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 13.7

Base Case $32.88 (+17%)

Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 12.5

Bear Case $19.33 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 16, 2026 4:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:47 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sir Jonathon Band SELL 11988 shares 2026-04-01

Sir Jonathon Band SELL 12 shares 2026-03-31

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

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Advanced CCL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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