CCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCL - Carnival Corporation
$30.90
0.78 (2.59%)
▲
5d:
+11.43%
30d:
+25.41%
90d:
+23.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
5d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
Get Alerted When CCL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CCL is 8.3% above its trading range ($28.53). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CCL is 8.3% above its trading range ($28.53). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.55
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCL is currently trading at $30.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.23 to $28.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.63 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CCL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.63 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.23 -
$28.53
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.63)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.23 -
$28.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.65
Resistance Level
$31.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$34.63
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.14
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$33.42
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$34.76
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.3%)
$91.46
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$49.86
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 17.3%)
$42.38
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$37.98
(+23%)
Analyst growth 14.6%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$34.53
(+12%)
Market implied 14.6%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$20.48
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 5:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
11988 shares
2026-04-01
Sir Jonathon Band
SELL
12 shares
2026-03-31
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Top Rated Travel Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Travel Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TCOM
Trip.com Group Ltd ADR |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$77 | 61 BUY |
|
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc |
BUY
39 analysts |
$224 | 65 BUY |
|
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises … |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$336 | 57 HOLD |
|
EXPE
Expedia Group Inc. |
HOLD
37 analysts |
$286 | 53 HOLD |
|
ABNB
Airbnb Inc |
HOLD
45 analysts |
$156 | 63 BUY |
Advanced CCL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCL price and gamma walls.
