CMCSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CMCSA - Comcast Corp

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$26.18
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: +3.23%
30d: +8.63%
90d: +4.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $25.36 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CMCSA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.11
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CMCSA is currently trading at $26.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.07 to $25.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CMCSA scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.08 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $23.07 - $25.16
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 29.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.08)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -1.2% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.07 - $25.16
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.33
Resistance Level $26.49
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.23
Wall Street Target $30.08 (+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.8%
Profit Margin 9.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.0% premium
PE vs Historical 7.2 vs 7.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.44 (+1%)
2-Year Target $26.71 (+2%)
3-Year Target $26.97 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $26.12 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.0%) $80.14 (+206%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 3.0%) $28.63 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 6.1, Growth: 3.0%) $24.34 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.12
Bull Case $32.53 (+24%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case $29.57 (+13%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case $17.32 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 15, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Hern SELL 2026-03-17
Michael T. McCaul SELL 2026-02-26
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-17

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Advanced CMCSA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMCSA price and gamma walls.

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