COTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

COTY - COTY INC

PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
$2.76
0.02 (0.73%) ▲
5d: +0.36%
30d: +1.1%
90d: +23.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $2.98 · last confirmed Aug 25, 2026

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: COTY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.70
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $2.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.68 to $2.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.51, while resistance sits at $3.09.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $2.68 - $2.84
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($2.62)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.5% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $2.68 - $2.84
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.51
Resistance Level $3.09
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.03
Wall Street Target $2.62 (-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -22.2%
Profit Margin -10.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.5% premium
PE vs Historical 8.0 vs 6.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.97 (+8%)
2-Year Target $3.19 (+16%)
3-Year Target $3.43 (+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $2.78 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 52.0%) $23.29 (+744%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 52.0%) $9.31 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.5, Growth: 52.0%) $7.54 (+173%)
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Last updated: August 27, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bretten Gordon Von BUY 83000 shares 2026-03-06

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Advanced COTY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COTY price and gamma walls.

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