CTVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTVA - Corteva, Inc. Common Stock
$76.87
1.16 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
+2.48%
30d:
-6.5%
90d:
-3.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.25
Based on -4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTVA is currently trading at $76.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.16 to $81.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTVA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.42, while resistance sits at $79.41.
Market Sentiment: CTVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.05 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTVA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.42, while resistance sits at $79.41.
Market Sentiment: CTVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.05 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$76.16 -
$81.41
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.05)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.16 -
$81.41
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.42
Resistance Level
$79.41
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.89
Wall Street Target
$90.05
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 24.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.72
(0%)
2-Year Target
$76.56
(0%)
3-Year Target
$76.41
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
$76.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: -13.9%)
$56.04
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -13.9%)
$51.09
(-34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -13.9%)
$43.42
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case
$144.84
(+88%)
Analyst growth 73.9%, PE expands to 45.0
Base Case
$131.67
(+71%)
Market implied 73.9%, PE stable at 40.9
Bear Case
$51.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.9 to 24.0
Stabilization Target:
$77.22
(+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 7:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Titus
SELL
8311 shares
2026-02-20
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-06
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTVA price and gamma walls.
