Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVGI - Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
$2.85
-0.03 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-0.35%
30d:
-4.36%
90d:
-36.38%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CVGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.9% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CVGI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.9% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGI is currently trading at $2.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.83 to $2.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (36.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.64, while resistance sits at $2.99.
Market Sentiment: CVGI scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+163.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.64, while resistance sits at $2.99.
Market Sentiment: CVGI scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.50 (+163.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.83 -
$2.99
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 163.2% below Wall St target ($7.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.83 -
$2.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.64
Resistance Level
$2.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.59
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(+163.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 36.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.57
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.31
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.08
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→36)
$4.05
(+42%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 36.2
Stabilization Target:
$5.55
(+94.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+94.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 26, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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