CVR ENERGY (CVI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVI - CVR ENERGY, INC.
$48.60
-7.32 (-13.09%)
▼
5d:
-15.38%
30d:
-14.65%
90d:
+55.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CVI is down 15.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CVI is down 15.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.54
59.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVI is currently trading at $48.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.45 to $61.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: CVI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$53.45 -
$61.19
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.45 -
$61.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.36
Resistance Level
$62.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.68
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.1%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 21.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.74
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$39.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$35.43
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→22)
$72.67
(+50%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.5%)
$187.50
(+286%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 27.5%)
$100.80
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 27.5%)
$85.68
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.20
Bull Case
$58.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case
$48.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.5
Bear Case
$37.18
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$99.69
(+105.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+105.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 04, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVI price and gamma walls.
