DECK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DECK - Deckers Outdoor Corp
$109.11
3.39 (3.21%)
▲
5d:
-4.6%
30d:
+15.74%
90d:
+4.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DECK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DECK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.45
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DECK is currently trading at $109.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.62 to $113.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DECK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $105.13, while resistance sits at $115.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.86 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DECK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $105.13, while resistance sits at $115.83. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.86 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$98.62 -
$113.49
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($126.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.62 -
$113.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.13
Resistance Level
$115.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.78
Wall Street Target
$126.86
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.8%
Profit Margin
18.7%
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.11
(0%)
2-Year Target
$109.11
(0%)
3-Year Target
$109.11
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$109.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$197.83
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$134.23
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 7.2%)
$114.09
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.02
Bull Case
$122.31
(+12%)
Analyst growth 5.2%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$111.19
(+2%)
Market implied 5.2%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$71.89
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 21, 2026 12:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DECK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Anne Spangenberg
SELL
4063 shares
2026-02-13
Robin Spring-Green
SELL
347 shares
2026-02-13
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