Is FDX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, FDX is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FDX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of FDX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FDX to be between $308.03 and $323.11. The current price is $334.64.

What is the analyst price target for FDX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FDX is $352.23. This implies a potential upside of 5.3% from current levels.

FDX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FDX - FedEx Corporation

AIR COURIER SERVICES

$334.64

-4.71 (-1.39%) ▼

5d: +5.04%

30d: +5.17%

90d: -11.93%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your FDX Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 12, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $318.57 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026

Strength: 7.5/10

Get Alerted When FDX Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FDX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -1.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$331.31

Based on 1.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$205.72

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FDX is currently trading at $334.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $308.03 to $323.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $341.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FDX scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $308.03 - $323.11

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 27.1%

Protect Your Profits

Holding FDX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($352.23)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 12.5% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $308.03 - $323.11

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $306.91

Resistance Level $341.69

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.16

Wall Street Target $352.23 (+5.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.3%

Profit Margin 4.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium

PE vs Historical 17.2 vs 16.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $342.00 (+2%)

2-Year Target $349.53 (+4%)

3-Year Target $357.22 (+7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $335.18 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.8%) $373.79 (+12%)

Base: (SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: -1.8%) $317.03 (-5%)

Bear: (PE: 14.6, Growth: -1.8%) $269.48 (-20%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 18.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.56

Bull Case $392.25 (+17%)

Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 20.1

Base Case $356.59 (+7%)

Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 18.3

Bear Case $230.76 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 15, 2026 8:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is FDX showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Tracy B Brightman SELL 16959 shares 2026-04-15

Susan C Schwab SELL 5795 shares 2026-04-15

Gina F Adams SELL 20450 shares 2026-04-14

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for FDX.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Integrated Freight & Logistics Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Integrated Freight & Logistics by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
UPS United Parcel Service Inc	BUY 32 analysts	$116	65 BUY
CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide Inc	STRONG BUY 24 analysts	$200	74 BUY
JBHT JB Hunt Transport Servic…	BUY 26 analysts	$305	60 BUY
ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc	STRONG BUY 21 analysts	$29	42 HOLD
GXO GXO Logistics Inc	STRONG BUY 17 analysts	$69	58 HOLD

UPS United Parcel Ser…

65 BUY

CHRW CH Robinson World…

74 BUY

JBHT JB Hunt Transport…

60 BUY

ZTO ZTO Express (Caym…

42 HOLD

GXO GXO Logistics Inc

58 HOLD

Advanced FDX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FDX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for FDX

FDX Technical Chart FDX Price Prediction FDX Earnings Date FDX Investment Advisor FDX Fair Price Analyzer FDX Options Advisor FDX Options Chain FDX Options Analysis FDX Competitors

Compare FDX with Peers

FDX vs UPS
Which one to buy?

FDX vs TGT
Which one to buy?

FDX vs CAT
Which one to buy?

FDX vs COST
Which one to buy?

FDX vs MMM
Which one to buy?

UPS vs FDX

FDX vs ZTO

FDX vs JBHT

FDX vs COST
Winner: COST

DE vs FDX

FDX vs CAT

AIRT vs FDX
Winner: FDX

FDX vs HUBG
Winner: FDX

FDX vs TGT

FDX vs MMM
Winner: FDX

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie