Is FORM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, FORM is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FORM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of FORM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FORM to be between $101.29 and $120.01. The current price is $128.77.

What is the analyst price target for FORM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FORM is $138.62. This implies a potential upside of 7.7% from current levels.

FORM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FORM - FormFactor Inc.

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$128.77

7.70 (6.36%) ▲

5d: +12.52%

30d: +10.69%

90d: -2.46%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your FORM Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 11, 2026 at $121.07 · last confirmed Aug 12, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FORM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 13.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$132.42

Based on 8.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$82.22

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FORM is currently trading at $128.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.29 to $120.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.1) compared to its historical average (44.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 502.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $130.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: FORM scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $101.29 - $120.01

Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.4%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($138.62)
WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $101.29 - $120.01

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $98.25

Resistance Level $130.47

Current Trend Sideways

Technical data as of Aug 12, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.06

Wall Street Target $138.63 (+7.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 31.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 502.5%

Profit Margin 12.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 37.1 vs 44.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $121.04 (-6%)

2-Year Target $113.78 (-12%)

3-Year Target $106.95 (-17%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→45) $129.02 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 37.1, Growth: 13.7%) $189.13 (+47%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.7%) $103.25 (-20%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 13.7%) $87.76 (-32%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 41.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.08

Bull Case $155.49 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.9

Base Case $128.77 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.8

Bear Case $98.51 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.1 to 44.7

Stabilization Target: $155.33 (+20.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +20.6%

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Last updated: August 13, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Mike Slessor SELL 11294 shares 2026-04-15

Mike Slessor SELL 10227 shares 2026-03-18

Aric Brendan Mckinnis SELL 3462 shares 2026-03-05

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