FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.
$5.23
-0.01 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
-11.51%
30d:
+29.78%
90d:
+32.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FOSL is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FOSL is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $5.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.85 to $5.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -22.8) compared to its historical average (46.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $4.20, while resistance sits at $6.16.
Market Sentiment: FOSL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+33.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $4.20, while resistance sits at $6.16.
Market Sentiment: FOSL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+33.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.85 -
$5.14
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.85 -
$5.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.20
Resistance Level
$6.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-22.78
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
PE vs Historical
-22.8 vs 46.9
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 12, 2026 9:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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