FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$86.47
1.81 (2.14%)
▲
5d:
-4.8%
30d:
+14.01%
90d:
+38.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When FTDR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.46
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $86.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.67 to $82.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.16, while resistance sits at $93.43.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.16, while resistance sits at $93.43.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$71.67 -
$82.92
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
25.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($98.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.67 -
$82.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.16
Resistance Level
$93.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.54
Wall Street Target
$98.00
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 13.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.35
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$98.63
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$105.34
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.8%)
$143.89
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 10.8%)
$117.66
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 10.8%)
$96.73
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.76
Bull Case
$129.47
(+50%)
Analyst growth 39.0%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$117.70
(+36%)
Market implied 39.0%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$57.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 11:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Personal Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Personal Services by analyst ratings.
