Frontdoor (FTDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$77.74
1.34 (1.75%)
â˛
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-3.48%
90d:
+2.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FTDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FTDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.46
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $77.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.93 to $80.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.15, while resistance sits at $81.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.40 (+24.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.15, while resistance sits at $81.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.40 (+24.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$74.93 -
$80.28
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($95.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.93 -
$80.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.15
Resistance Level
$81.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.90
Wall Street Target
$95.40
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.16
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$79.95
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$81.79
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$133.46
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$100.16
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$85.14
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$115.79
(+52%)
Analyst growth 35.3%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$105.27
(+38%)
Market implied 35.3%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$52.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 15, 2026 1:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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