FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$70.23
0.09 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
+4.66%
30d:
+10.7%
90d:
+16.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.75
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $70.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.11 to $66.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTDR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTDR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.11 -
$66.87
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.11 -
$66.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.55
Resistance Level
$66.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.95
Wall Street Target
$74.20
(+5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.60
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$73.11
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$74.64
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$148.52
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$95.15
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$80.88
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$110.24
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.6%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$100.22
(+43%)
Market implied 43.6%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$47.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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