What is the fair value of GOOG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for GOOG to be between $310.48 and $351.10. The current price is $277.06.

What is the analyst price target for GOOG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for GOOG is $405.31. This implies a potential upside of 45.8% from current levels.

GOOG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GOOG - Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$277.06

-0.98 (-0.35%) ▼

5d: -12.55%

30d: -19.42%

90d: -23.07%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Nov 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $283.14 · last confirmed Nov 2, 2026

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GOOG is down 12.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -7.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$343.06

Based on -1.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$213.02

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GOOG is currently trading at $277.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $310.48 to $351.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (24.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $275.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $405.31 (+45.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $310.48 - $351.10

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 45.8% below Wall St target ($405.31)
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $310.48 - $351.10

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $275.35

Resistance Level $341.00

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Nov 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.37

Wall Street Target $405.31 (+45.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.3%

Profit Margin 50.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -9.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 24.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $252.18 (-9%)

2-Year Target $228.73 (-18%)

3-Year Target $207.46 (-25%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→25) $277.87 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.1%) $241.11 (+-13%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: -7.1%) $222.98 (-20%)

Bear: (PE: 15.6, Growth: -7.1%) $189.53 (-32%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 14.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.15

Bull Case $241.94 (-13%)

Analyst growth -20.9%, PE expands to 16.0

Base Case $219.94 (-21%)

Market implied -20.9%, PE stable at 14.5

Bear Case $189.19 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 24.6

Stabilization Target: $372.41 (+33.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +33.9%

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Last updated: November 03, 2026 10:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 AM

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Advanced GOOG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GOOG price and gamma walls.

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