GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$131.89
-0.63 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
+7.75%
90d:
+41.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.99
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $131.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.24 to $131.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $131.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPC scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $131.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GPC scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$122.24 -
$131.73
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($140.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$122.24 -
$131.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$131.10
Resistance Level
$137.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.88
Wall Street Target
$140.38
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.43
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$143.20
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$149.22
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.3%)
$206.38
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 7.3%)
$162.98
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 7.3%)
$138.53
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 17.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.57
Bull Case
$159.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$131.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$100.90
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 19, 2026 8:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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