HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$44.94
0.16 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
+2.37%
30d:
+2.49%
90d:
+22.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 02, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HUBG is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HUBG is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.28
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $44.94, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.91 to $45.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.4) compared to its historical average (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$42.91 -
$45.03
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($42.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.91 -
$45.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.75
Resistance Level
$45.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.45
Wall Street Target
$42.20
(-6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.51
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$48.14
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$49.83
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 9.5%)
$58.99
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$57.22
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.5%)
$48.64
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$56.66
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$51.51
(+15%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$30.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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