HUB Group (HUBG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$26.71
0.03 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+3.93%
30d:
-11.41%
90d:
-42.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.0% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.0% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.14
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.41
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $26.71, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.84 to $29.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.98, while resistance sits at $27.53.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+39.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.98, while resistance sits at $27.53.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.17 (+39.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$25.84 -
$29.71
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.1% below Wall St target ($37.17)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 82/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.84 -
$29.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.98
Resistance Level
$27.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.36
Wall Street Target
$37.17
(+39.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 19.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.04
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.47
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→20)
$30.71
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.6%)
$73.50
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 19.6%)
$45.75
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 19.6%)
$38.89
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$35.82
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.1%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$32.57
(+22%)
Market implied 22.1%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$18.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$42.13
(+57.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 31, 2026 11:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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