HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$37.94
-1.93 (-4.84%)
▼
5d:
-3.29%
30d:
-17.9%
90d:
-13.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HUBG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HUBG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.95
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.06
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $37.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.20 to $46.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $37.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 92/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $37.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: HUBG scores 92/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$39.20 -
$46.83
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (92/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.20 -
$46.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.32
Resistance Level
$41.24
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.88
Wall Street Target
$41.00
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 20.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.16
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$34.46
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$32.84
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$38.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.3%)
$67.05
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 16.3%)
$59.64
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 16.3%)
$50.69
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.75
Bull Case
$53.18
(+40%)
Analyst growth 21.3%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$48.35
(+27%)
Market implied 21.3%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$27.11
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$43.93
(+15.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 01, 2026 11:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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