HUBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HUBS - HUBSPOT, INC.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$224.14
-16.37 (-6.81%) â–ŧ
5d: +6.51%
30d: -0.19%
90d: +22.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $210.45 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026

Strength: 8.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: HUBS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$602.34
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$374.01
40.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HUBS is currently trading at $224.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $203.29 to $236.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 968.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $185.05, while resistance sits at $257.97. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $203.29 - $236.51
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.8%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($243.36)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $203.29 - $236.51
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $185.05
Resistance Level $257.97
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.54
Wall Street Target $243.36 (+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 968.1%
Profit Margin 4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 18.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $201.73 (-10%)
2-Year Target $181.55 (-19%)
3-Year Target $163.40 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→19) $226.91 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.7%) $649.63 (+190%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 24.7%) $434.74 (+94%)
Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 24.7%) $369.53 (+65%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $13.34
Bull Case $270.65 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case $224.14 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case $171.47 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 18.8
Stabilization Target: $311.26 (+38.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +38.9%
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Last updated: August 16, 2026 11:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Halligan SELL 8292 shares 2026-04-21
Brian Halligan SELL 8500 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced HUBS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HUBS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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