IAG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$18.30
0.55 (3.10%)
▲
5d:
-0.11%
30d:
+28.87%
90d:
-0.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IAG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IAG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.72
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $18.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.13 to $17.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 191.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.99, while resistance sits at $18.87. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.40 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.99, while resistance sits at $18.87. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.40 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.13 -
$17.00
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($23.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.13 -
$17.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.99
Resistance Level
$18.87
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.04
Wall Street Target
$23.40
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
191.4%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.23
(0%)
2-Year Target
$18.15
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$18.08
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$18.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.1%)
$58.10
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 8.1%)
$23.09
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$19.62
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$22.45
(+23%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$20.41
(+12%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$12.07
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$18.44
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 11:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Stewart Smith
SELL
31000 shares
2026-02-27
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