IAMGold (IAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IAG - IAMGold Corporation
$17.76
0.71 (4.16%)
▲
5d:
-3.48%
30d:
-8.83%
90d:
+25.6%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IAG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.80
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.74
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IAG is currently trading at $17.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.22 to $20.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 191.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.82, while resistance sits at $18.95. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+38.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IAG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.82, while resistance sits at $18.95. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IAG scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+38.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.22 -
$20.13
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.0% below Wall St target ($24.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.22 -
$20.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.82
Resistance Level
$18.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.58
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+38.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
191.4%
Profit Margin
31.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.32
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$16.88
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$16.46
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$17.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.4%)
$75.34
(+324%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 17.4%)
$28.75
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 17.4%)
$24.44
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$22.20
(+25%)
Analyst growth 18.4%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$20.18
(+14%)
Market implied 18.4%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$11.59
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$19.22
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 16, 2026 12:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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