KEYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEYS - Keysight Technologies, Inc.
$322.62
1.04 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
-0.98%
30d:
-3.99%
90d:
-5.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KEYS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 109% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KEYS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 109% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$580.97
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$360.73
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEYS is currently trading at $322.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $312.02 to $344.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (27.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 109.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $327.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KEYS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $415.08 (+28.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $327.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KEYS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $415.08 (+28.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$312.02 -
$344.33
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($415.08)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$312.02 -
$344.33
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$306.85
Resistance Level
$327.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.64
Wall Street Target
$415.08
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.1%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 27.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$305.84
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$289.94
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$274.86
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→28)
$322.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 18.7%)
$539.52
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.7%)
$461.79
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 18.7%)
$392.52
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.43
Bull Case
$649.86
(+101%)
Analyst growth 83.7%, PE expands to 47.6
Base Case
$590.79
(+83%)
Market implied 83.7%, PE stable at 43.3
Bear Case
$218.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.6 to 27.7
Stabilization Target:
$378.10
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 03, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Jeffrey K Li
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
Neil Dougherty
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
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