KGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$27.24
-0.16 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
+15.42%
30d:
+16.01%
90d:
-14.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $27.64 · last confirmed Aug 11, 2026
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KGC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KGC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.67
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $27.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.79 to $25.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 64.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.93 (+31.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.93 (+31.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.79 -
$25.52
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KGC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($35.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.79 -
$25.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.37
Resistance Level
$27.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.05
Wall Street Target
$35.93
(+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.8%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.53
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$25.84
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$25.17
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$27.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.4%)
$84.25
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.4%)
$37.70
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 11.4%)
$32.05
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.61
Bull Case
$34.75
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.3%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$31.59
(+16%)
Market implied 15.3%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$18.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$29.49
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 12, 2026 2:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
