Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGC - Kinross Gold Corporation
$23.74
0.40 (1.71%)
▲
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
-17.94%
90d:
+1.11%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KGC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.01
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGC is currently trading at $23.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.29 to $29.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 64.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.82, while resistance sits at $24.59.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 90/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.05 (+43.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.82, while resistance sits at $24.59.
Market Sentiment: KGC scores 90/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.05 (+43.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.29 -
$29.76
Company Quality Score
75/100
(STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KGC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (90/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.4% below Wall St target ($34.05)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.29 -
$29.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.82
Resistance Level
$24.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.53
Wall Street Target
$34.06
(+43.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.8%
Profit Margin
37.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.74
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$21.79
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$20.87
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$23.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$69.32
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 7.9%)
$29.78
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 7.9%)
$25.32
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.63
Bull Case
$27.16
(+14%)
Analyst growth 5.8%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$24.69
(+4%)
Market implied 5.8%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$15.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$26.99
(+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 11, 2026 7:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KGC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGC price and gamma walls.
