LPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LPX - Louisiana-Pacific Corp.
$71.26
0.54 (0.76%)
▲
5d:
-2.62%
30d:
-0.9%
90d:
-6.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LPX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LPX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.36
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LPX is currently trading at $71.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.47 to $75.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.5) compared to its historical average (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.23 (+29.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LPX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.23 (+29.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$71.47 -
$75.67
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.4% below Wall St target ($92.23)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with -12.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.47 -
$75.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.00
Resistance Level
$76.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.52
Wall Street Target
$92.23
(+29.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.8%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 20.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.82
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$78.56
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$82.49
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 180.1%)
$240.50
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 180.1%)
$205.21
(+188%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 180.1%)
$174.43
(+145%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (93x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 93.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$155.58
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 102.4
Base Case
$141.44
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 93.1
Bear Case
$48.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 79.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 30, 2026 2:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lizanne M Bruce
SELL
1300 shares
2026-03-10
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