LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$224.27
-0.93 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
+2.85%
30d:
+28.16%
90d:
+51.6%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSTR trades at premium valuation expecting 7.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: LSTR trades at premium valuation expecting 7.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$345.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$214.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $224.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $179.56 to $216.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.6) compared to its historical average (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $228.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $179.14. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $228.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $179.14. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$179.56 -
$216.61
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 20.1% above Wall St target ($179.14)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$179.56 -
$216.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.00
Resistance Level
$228.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.63
Wall Street Target
$179.14
(-20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.9%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.6 vs 25.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$240.64
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$258.21
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$277.06
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$224.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.6, Growth: 25.0%)
$438.15
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 25.0%)
$303.60
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 25.0%)
$258.06
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 39.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.74
Bull Case
$270.81
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.0
Base Case
$224.27
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$171.57
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 13, 2026 2:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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