Landstar System (LSTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$169.11
-0.36 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-2.52%
30d:
-2.64%
90d:
-20.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$373.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$231.80
27.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $169.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.18 to $174.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $163.24, while resistance sits at $175.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.19 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $163.24, while resistance sits at $175.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $188.19 (+11.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$167.18 -
$174.06
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($188.19)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$167.18 -
$174.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$163.24
Resistance Level
$175.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.05
Wall Street Target
$188.19
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.16
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$153.59
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$146.37
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$169.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 29.3%)
$365.29
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.3%)
$328.95
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 29.3%)
$279.61
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.86
Bull Case
$370.32
(+119%)
Analyst growth 98.7%, PE expands to 48.3
Base Case
$336.66
(+99%)
Market implied 98.7%, PE stable at 43.9
Bear Case
$115.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$195.53
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 11, 2026 5:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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