LSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSTR - Landstar System Inc
$177.74
-0.61 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
-16.5%
90d:
-0.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LSTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$371.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$230.39
22.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSTR is currently trading at $177.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.39 to $210.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.3) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $167.58, while resistance sits at $184.98.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.12 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSTR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $167.58, while resistance sits at $184.98.
Market Sentiment: LSTR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.12 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$180.39 -
$210.74
Company Quality Score
71/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($196.12)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.39 -
$210.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$167.58
Resistance Level
$184.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.32
Wall Street Target
$196.13
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 26.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.16
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$164.83
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$158.73
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$177.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 28.9%)
$381.05
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.9%)
$330.55
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 28.9%)
$280.97
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$392.37
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.0
Base Case
$356.70
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.3
Bear Case
$121.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.3 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$198.92
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 12, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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