Magna International (MGA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGA - Magna International
$66.39
0.96 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+1.65%
30d:
+5.36%
90d:
-1.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MGA is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.69
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGA is currently trading at $66.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.51 to $65.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$63.51 -
$65.60
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($72.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.51 -
$65.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.90
Resistance Level
$68.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.55
Wall Street Target
$72.94
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.8%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.72
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$67.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$67.39
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$208.94
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$89.93
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 10.6%)
$76.44
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$143.95
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$130.86
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$44.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 20, 2026 9:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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