MLI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLI - Mueller Industries, Inc.
$136.33
-3.18 (-2.28%)
▼
5d:
-1.03%
30d:
+2.06%
90d:
+23.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MLI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MLI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.39
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLI is currently trading at $136.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.12 to $138.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $138.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $138.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$131.12 -
$138.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($149.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.12 -
$138.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.94
Resistance Level
$138.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.58
Wall Street Target
$149.00
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.4%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$138.24
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$140.17
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$142.14
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$135.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.2%)
$215.40
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 4.2%)
$154.09
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 4.2%)
$130.98
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.63
Bull Case
$175.99
(+29%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$159.99
(+17%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$94.87
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Jay Goldman
SELL
4430 shares
2026-02-13
John B Hansen
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-09
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