NTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares
$64.28
-1.20 (-1.83%)
▼
5d:
-1.15%
30d:
-10.25%
90d:
-17.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.60
Based on -2.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $64.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.60 to $71.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1250.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.07 (+27.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.07 (+27.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.60 -
$71.06
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($82.07)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.60 -
$71.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.46
Resistance Level
$70.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.91
Wall Street Target
$82.07
(+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1250.0%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 14.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.62
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$57.16
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$53.90
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$64.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -8.2%)
$90.93
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: -8.2%)
$49.72
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: -8.2%)
$42.26
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.91
Bull Case
$79.97
(+24%)
Analyst growth 9.9%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$72.70
(+13%)
Market implied 9.9%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$44.97
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$76.65
(+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 9:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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