Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares (NTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares
$69.58
-0.62 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
-0.97%
90d:
+3.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.17
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $69.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.52 to $71.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $70.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NTR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$68.52 -
$71.25
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($77.13)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.52 -
$71.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.97
Resistance Level
$70.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.83
Wall Street Target
$77.13
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.78
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$69.36
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$68.94
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$70.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.6%)
$108.98
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 2.6%)
$75.90
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 2.6%)
$64.52
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$78.45
(+12%)
Analyst growth 2.7%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$71.32
(+2%)
Market implied 2.7%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$47.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$71.56
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 12:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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