ORLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORLA - Orla Mining Ltd.
$9.64
0.15 (1.58%)
▲
5d:
-7.13%
30d:
-20.79%
90d:
-30.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORLA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ORLA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.89
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORLA is currently trading at $9.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.14 to $12.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 170.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ORLA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+92.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORLA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ORLA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.60 (+92.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.14 -
$12.36
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORLA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 92.9% below Wall St target ($18.60)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.14 -
$12.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.10
Resistance Level
$13.46
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.00
Wall Street Target
$18.60
(+92.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
169.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.7%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.68
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.03
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$10.31
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -1.9%)
$33.06
(+243%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: -1.9%)
$9.10
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: -1.9%)
$7.74
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$20.64
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$18.76
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$6.38
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.15
(+46.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 28, 2026 7:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 PM
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