PLDT (PHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$19.90
0.17 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
+8.15%
30d:
+10.93%
90d:
-0.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.85
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $19.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.41 to $18.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $20.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+32.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $20.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+32.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.41 -
$18.84
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($26.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 2.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.41 -
$18.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.60
Resistance Level
$20.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.41
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.98
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$20.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$20.14
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.0%)
$59.97
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 4.0%)
$22.38
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 4.0%)
$19.02
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.11
Bull Case
$27.62
(+39%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$25.11
(+26%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$13.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 18, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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