PHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHI - PLDT Inc.
$18.87
-0.16 (-0.84%)
▼
5d:
-3.53%
30d:
-5.7%
90d:
-3.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.50
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHI is currently trading at $18.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.22 to $19.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.42 (+38.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.22 -
$19.92
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.8% below Wall St target ($26.42)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.22 -
$19.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.77
Resistance Level
$20.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.09
Wall Street Target
$26.42
(+38.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.71
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$18.39
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$18.08
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$19.13
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.0%)
$60.73
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 4.0%)
$21.40
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 4.0%)
$18.19
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$27.42
(+45%)
Analyst growth 29.1%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$24.93
(+32%)
Market implied 29.1%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$13.13
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.14
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 19, 2026 6:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alfredo Santos Panlilio
SELL
4505 shares
2026-04-10
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