PTON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTON - Peloton Interactive, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$5.77
0.24 (4.34%)
▲
5d:
+2.12%
30d:
+10.33%
90d:
+42.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PTON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.95
17.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTON is currently trading at $5.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.30 to $6.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTON is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $6.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.09 (+40.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTON is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.45, while resistance sits at $6.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.09 (+40.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.30 -
$6.05
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.3% below Wall St target ($8.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.30 -
$6.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.45
Resistance Level
$6.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.79
Wall Street Target
$8.09
(+40.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.78
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$5.78
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$5.79
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 112.1%)
$20.41
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 112.1%)
$19.47
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 112.1%)
$16.55
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.31
Bull Case
$6.97
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$5.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$4.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 4:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Peter Kirol
SELL
3670 shares
2026-04-20
Charles Peter Kirol
SELL
19806 shares
2026-04-16
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PTON price and gamma walls.
