PZZA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PZZA - Papa John's International Inc
$32.60
0.26 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
+2.13%
30d:
-0.31%
90d:
-11.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PZZA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PZZA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.16
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.87
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PZZA is currently trading at $32.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.99 to $34.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.7) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PZZA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.70, while resistance sits at $35.10.
Market Sentiment: PZZA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.90 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PZZA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.70, while resistance sits at $35.10.
Market Sentiment: PZZA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.90 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.99 -
$34.07
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.90)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.99 -
$34.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.70
Resistance Level
$35.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.69
Wall Street Target
$37.90
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$31.69
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$31.25
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$32.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$61.74
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 17.3%)
$52.64
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 17.3%)
$44.75
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$71.15
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.9
Base Case
$64.68
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.0
Bear Case
$21.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$34.01
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 13, 2026 7:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PZZA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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