Republic Services (RSG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$234.81
1.41 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
+11.88%
90d:
+11.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.27
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $234.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.96 to $232.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.9) is in line with its historical norms (27.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $228.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RSG scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $228.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RSG scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$210.96 -
$232.45
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RSG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($243.58)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$210.96 -
$232.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$228.41
Resistance Level
$243.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.92
Wall Street Target
$243.58
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 27.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$237.37
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$241.40
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$245.51
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$233.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$319.02
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$219.08
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$186.22
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.05
Bull Case
$296.75
(+27%)
Analyst growth 14.5%, PE expands to 36.8
Base Case
$269.77
(+16%)
Market implied 14.5%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case
$160.25
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 29, 2026 12:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RSG price and gamma walls.
