SKY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.

MOBILE HOMES
$90.25
0.30 (0.33%) ▲
5d: -4.53%
30d: +12.94%
90d: +29.76%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: SKY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.37
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.63
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $90.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.12 to $92.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (21.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SKY scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.50 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $81.12 - $92.45
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 43.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $81.12 - $92.45
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $89.31
Resistance Level $96.59
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.28
Wall Street Target $103.50 (+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -21.2%
Profit Margin 7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 24.3 vs 21.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $93.50 (+4%)
2-Year Target $96.86 (+7%)
3-Year Target $100.35 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→22) PE COMPRESSION $90.11 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.3, Growth: -1.4%) $86.55 (+-4%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -1.4%) $71.55 (-21%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -1.4%) $60.82 (-33%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case $110.79 (+23%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case $100.72 (+12%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case $61.17 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Kimmell SELL 2880 shares 2026-03-06
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-03

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