Champion Homes (SKY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKY - Champion Homes, Inc.
$76.36
1.25 (1.66%)
▲
5d:
-2.61%
30d:
-11.71%
90d:
-6.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
12d
Get Alerted When SKY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SKY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.16
Based on 1.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKY is currently trading at $76.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.19 to $87.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.83 (+33.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.83 (+33.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.19 -
$87.31
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($101.83)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.19 -
$87.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.36
Resistance Level
$84.47
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.54
Wall Street Target
$101.83
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.2%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.60
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$72.89
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$71.21
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$76.27
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: -1.4%)
$73.23
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.4%)
$70.80
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -1.4%)
$60.18
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$89.55
(+17%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$81.41
(+7%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$51.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$81.78
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SKY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Residential Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Residential Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TOL
Toll Brothers Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$169 | 47 HOLD |
|
PHM
PulteGroup Inc |
BUY
18 analysts |
$135 | 64 BUY |
|
TMHC
Taylor Morn Home |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$67 | 49 HOLD |
|
DHI
DR Horton Inc |
SELL
20 analysts |
$153 | 62 BUY |
|
LEN
Lennar Corporation |
SELL
21 analysts |
$78 | 65 BUY |