STAG INDUSTRIAL (STAG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STAG - STAG INDUSTRIAL, INC.
$35.83
0.14 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
-0.5%
30d:
-4.43%
90d:
-14.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
7d
Get Alerted When STAG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STAG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.45
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STAG is currently trading at $35.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.02 to $37.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.3) is in line with its historical norms (34.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STAG scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.33 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STAG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STAG scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.33 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$36.02 -
$37.31
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.33)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.02 -
$37.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.14
Resistance Level
$36.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.29
Wall Street Target
$41.33
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.3 vs 34.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.19
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.55
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$33.93
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→34)
$35.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.3, Growth: 1.1%)
$37.03
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$22.77
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 1.1%)
$19.36
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$34.03
(-5%)
Analyst growth -13.3%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$30.94
(-14%)
Market implied -13.3%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$24.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.3 to 34.1
Stabilization Target:
$37.83
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 19, 2026 8:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is STAG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Industrial Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Industrial by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
EGP
EastGroup Properties Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$226 | 59 HOLD |
|
TRNO
Terreno Realty Corporati… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$73 | 56 HOLD |
|
EXR
Extra Space Storage Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$157 | 49 HOLD |
|
FR
First Industrial Realty … |
BUY
17 analysts |
$72 | 62 BUY |
|
PLD
Prologis Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$156 | 53 HOLD |
