THRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$41.52
0.26 (0.63%)
â˛
5d:
-0.02%
30d:
+15.88%
90d:
+31.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: THRM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: THRM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.98
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $41.52, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.62 to $42.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.07, while resistance sits at $43.71.
Market Sentiment: THRM scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.71 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.07, while resistance sits at $43.71.
Market Sentiment: THRM scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.71 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$35.62 -
$42.30
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.62 -
$42.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.07
Resistance Level
$43.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$47.71
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
798.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.77
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$44.05
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$45.37
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.2%)
$93.52
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$58.60
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.2%)
$49.81
(+20%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$90.77
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.8
Base Case
$82.52
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.0
Bear Case
$28.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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