THRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$36.08
1.02 (2.91%)
▲
5d:
-4.88%
30d:
+19.08%
90d:
+27.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: THRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: THRM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.18
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $36.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.47 to $35.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $34.01, while resistance sits at $38.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.57 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $34.01, while resistance sits at $38.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.57 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.47 -
$35.95
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 11.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.47 -
$35.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.01
Resistance Level
$38.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.82
Wall Street Target
$40.57
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.2%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.44
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$36.81
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$37.17
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$95.48
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$51.50
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$43.77
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$76.13
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.1
Base Case
$69.21
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.4
Bear Case
$23.53
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 12, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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