Gentherm (THRM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$29.68
-0.25 (-0.84%)
▼
5d:
-5.18%
30d:
-22.57%
90d:
-17.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: THRM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: THRM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.78
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.01
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $29.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.50 to $39.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 798.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.50, while resistance sits at $35.72.
Market Sentiment: THRM scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+61.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.50, while resistance sits at $35.72.
Market Sentiment: THRM scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+61.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.50 -
$39.06
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding THRM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 61.7% below Wall St target ($48.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.50 -
$39.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.50
Resistance Level
$35.72
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.16
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+61.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
798.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.45
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$25.39
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$23.49
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$29.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$89.61
(+202%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 11.7%)
$41.32
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$35.12
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$65.85
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$59.86
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$20.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$37.60
(+26.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 5:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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