TKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKR - The Timken Company
$131.30
1.05 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
+2.06%
30d:
-5.86%
90d:
+13.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When TKR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.95
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKR is currently trading at $131.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $132.86 to $141.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.17, while resistance sits at $142.17.
Market Sentiment: TKR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.20 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.17, while resistance sits at $142.17.
Market Sentiment: TKR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.20 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$132.86 -
$141.20
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($147.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 7.5% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$132.86 -
$141.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.17
Resistance Level
$142.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.06
Wall Street Target
$147.20
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-63.4%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.98
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$138.76
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$142.64
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.3%)
$231.44
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 16.3%)
$206.60
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 16.3%)
$175.61
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$278.53
(+112%)
Analyst growth 94.4%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$253.21
(+93%)
Market implied 94.4%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$88.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 14, 2026 4:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard G Kyle
SELL
19636 shares
2026-02-20
Richard G Kyle
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-19
Top Rated Tools & Accessories Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Tools & Accessories by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RBC
RBC Bearings Incorporated |
BUY
9 analysts |
$633 | 60 BUY |
|
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker I… |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$97 | 36 SELL |
|
SNA
Snap-On Inc |
HOLD
11 analysts |
$414 | 58 HOLD |
|
LECO
Lincoln Electric Holding… |
BUY
10 analysts |
$299 | 35 SELL |
|
HLMN
Hillman Solutions Corp |
BUY
8 analysts |
$12 | 39 SELL |
