WEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WEN - The Wendy's Company

RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES
$8.27
0.45 (5.82%) ▲
5d: -8.21%
30d: +12.36%
90d: +7.4%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: WEN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.45
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.63
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WEN is currently trading at $8.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.36 to $8.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WEN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.67, while resistance sits at $9.14. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: WEN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $7.36 - $8.66
Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($7.79)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.6% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.36 - $8.66
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.67
Resistance Level $9.14
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.33
Wall Street Target $7.79 (-5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -40.8%
Profit Margin 5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.6% premium
PE vs Historical 15.3 vs 11.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.23 (+12%)
2-Year Target $10.30 (+25%)
3-Year Target $11.49 (+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→11) PE COMPRESSION $8.25 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.3%) $12.63 (+53%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 5.3%) $9.65 (+17%)
Bear: (PE: 11.0, Growth: 5.3%) $6.92 (-16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case $7.03 (-15%)
Analyst growth -18.2%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case $6.39 (-23%)
Market implied -18.2%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case $5.31 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 29, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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