WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$344.28
1.39 (0.41%)
â˛
5d:
-1.92%
30d:
+2.57%
90d:
-4.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WINA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WINA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$436.51
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$271.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $344.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $338.32 to $371.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.6) compared to its historical average (31.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $337.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WINA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+58.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $337.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WINA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+58.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$338.32 -
$371.58
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.3% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$338.32 -
$371.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$337.43
Resistance Level
$384.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.56
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+58.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Profit Margin
47.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 31.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$327.75
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$312.02
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$297.05
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28â32)
$343.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$456.37
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$332.29
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$282.45
(-18%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.02
Bull Case
$427.49
(+24%)
Analyst growth 13.3%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$388.63
(+13%)
Market implied 13.3%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$233.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 31.9
Stabilization Target:
$398.43
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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