Winmark (WINA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$305.10
2.99 (0.99%)
▲
5d:
+8.05%
30d:
+6.61%
90d:
-13.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WINA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WINA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$466.54
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$289.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $305.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $289.71 to $304.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.4) compared to its historical average (30.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $280.20, while resistance sits at $328.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+78.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $280.20, while resistance sits at $328.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+78.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$289.71 -
$304.34
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 78.6% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$289.71 -
$304.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$280.20
Resistance Level
$328.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.41
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+78.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Profit Margin
45.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.4 vs 30.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$294.12
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$283.53
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$273.32
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→31)
$305.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.4, Growth: 18.0%)
$306.75
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$222.24
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.0%)
$188.90
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.20
Bull Case
$330.24
(+8%)
Analyst growth -0.6%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case
$300.22
(-2%)
Market implied -0.6%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$205.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.4 to 30.6
Stabilization Target:
$340.58
(+11.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 3:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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