Wingstop (WING) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WING - Wingstop Inc
$122.26
3.76 (3.17%)
▲
5d:
+14.38%
30d:
+10.62%
90d:
-20.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WING shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WING shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.89
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.09
16.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WING is currently trading at $122.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.83 to $112.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.9) compared to its historical average (33.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $122.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: WING scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.08 (+60.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $122.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: WING scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.08 (+60.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$101.83 -
$112.10
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WING? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 60.4% below Wall St target ($196.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.83 -
$112.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.11
Resistance Level
$122.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.89
Wall Street Target
$196.08
(+60.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 33.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$99.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$89.13
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→34)
$131.62
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 20.6%)
$214.37
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.6%)
$186.01
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 20.6%)
$158.11
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.22
Bull Case
$165.00
(+35%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$150.00
(+23%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 28.1
Bear Case
$80.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 33.8
Stabilization Target:
$180.55
(+47.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+47.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 8:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WING showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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