WING Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WING - Wingstop Inc

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$111.36
-6.16 (-5.24%) ▼
5d: -8.35%
30d: -27.72%
90d: -12.54%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WING shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$237.39
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.40
24.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WING is currently trading at $111.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.24 to $153.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (36.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WING is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $110.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.59 (+85.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $123.24 - $153.76
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 85.5% below Wall St target ($206.59)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $123.24 - $153.76
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $110.44
Resistance Level $147.11
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.76
Wall Street Target $206.59 (+85.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.8%
Profit Margin 16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.8 vs 36.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $100.22 (-10%)
2-Year Target $90.20 (-19%)
3-Year Target $81.18 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→37) $144.31 (+30%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.8, Growth: 20.5%) $195.06 (+75%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.5%) $190.10 (+71%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 20.5%) $161.58 (+45%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.23
Bull Case $163.94 (+47%)
Analyst growth 26.8%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case $149.04 (+34%)
Market implied 26.8%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case $79.91 (-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 36.9
Stabilization Target: $197.95 (+77.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +77.8%
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Last updated: August 11, 2026 8:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kilandigalu Madati SELL 2700 shares 2026-02-25
Wesley S Mcdonald SELL 566 shares 2026-02-23

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Advanced WING Option Strategies

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