What is the fair value of YUM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for YUM to be between $146.46 and $153.54. The current price is $150.75.

What is the analyst price target for YUM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for YUM is $173.34. This implies a potential upside of 15.0% from current levels.

YUM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

YUM - Yum! Brands, Inc.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES

$150.75

-3.66 (-2.37%) ▼

5d: -1.04%

30d: -0.77%

90d: +0.48%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 26, 2026 at $154.46 · last confirmed Aug 27, 2026

Strength: 5.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: YUM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 12.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$237.31

Based on 8.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$147.35

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: YUM is currently trading at $150.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $146.46 to $153.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 131.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, YUM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $143.26, while resistance sits at $158.05.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.34 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $146.46 - $153.54

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($173.34)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $146.46 - $153.54

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $143.26

Resistance Level $158.05

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.21

Wall Street Target $173.34 (+15.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 131.6%

Profit Margin 25.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 20.2 vs 21.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $147.89 (-2%)

2-Year Target $145.08 (-4%)

3-Year Target $142.32 (-6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→21) $150.68 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.6%) $214.95 (+43%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.6%) $213.42 (+42%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.6%) $181.41 (+20%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 19.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.84

Bull Case $161.58 (+7%)

Analyst growth -4.9%, PE expands to 21.7

Base Case $146.89 (-3%)

Market implied -4.9%, PE stable at 19.7

Bear Case $105.00 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 21.4

Stabilization Target: $159.60 (+5.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +5.9%

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Last updated: August 28, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced YUM Option Strategies

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