ACIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACIC - American Coastal Insurance Corporation Common Stock
$10.62
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.31%
30d:
-6.68%
90d:
-10.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACIC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACIC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.55
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACIC is currently trading at $10.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.30 to $11.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.77, while resistance sits at $11.09.
Market Sentiment: ACIC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.77, while resistance sits at $11.09.
Market Sentiment: ACIC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.30 -
$11.30
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with -1.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.30 -
$11.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.77
Resistance Level
$11.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.46
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.9%
Profit Margin
31.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 8.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.53
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$12.53
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$13.60
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.7%)
$24.87
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 5.7%)
$12.55
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$9.84
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$5.84
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 5.5
Base Case
$5.31
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.0
Bear Case
$7.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Kern Michael Davis
BUY
200 shares
2026-03-20
Kern Michael Davis
BUY
400 shares
2026-03-18
Kern Michael Davis
BUY
1400 shares
2026-03-04
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