CHUNGHWA TELECOM (CHT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHT - CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO., LTD
$45.90
0.18 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
+2.34%
30d:
+6.74%
90d:
+1.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.40
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHT is currently trading at $45.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.67 to $44.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $46.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $46.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.67 -
$44.77
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.67 -
$44.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.40
Resistance Level
$46.07
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.27
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 27.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.96
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$48.04
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$49.14
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 83.6%)
$47.06
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 83.6%)
$32.47
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 83.6%)
$27.60
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$48.68
(+6%)
Analyst growth -3.2%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$44.25
(-4%)
Market implied -3.2%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$31.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 20, 2026 9:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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