CHUNGHWA TELECOM (CHT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHT - CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO., LTD
$45.99
-0.21 (-0.45%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.37%
30d:
+3.28%
90d:
+10.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CHT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CHT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.40
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHT is currently trading at $45.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.58 to $46.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.58 -
$46.23
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.58 -
$46.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.19
Resistance Level
$46.46
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.33
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 27.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$47.75
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$48.66
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29â28)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 83.6%)
$47.15
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 83.6%)
$31.93
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 83.6%)
$27.14
(-41%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$48.59
(+6%)
Analyst growth -4.4%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$44.17
(-4%)
Market implied -4.4%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$31.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 11, 2026 2:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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