CHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHT - CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO., LTD
$42.43
-0.18 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
-1.51%
30d:
-3.57%
90d:
-1.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.40
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHT is currently trading at $42.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.94 to $43.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.1) is in line with its historical norms (27.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+13.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.94 -
$43.90
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.94 -
$43.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.26
Resistance Level
$43.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.06
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
16.2%
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 27.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.43
(0%)
2-Year Target
$42.43
(0%)
3-Year Target
$42.43
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 83.6%)
$43.50
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 83.6%)
$33.33
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 83.6%)
$28.33
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.55
Bull Case
$47.42
(+12%)
Analyst growth 1.2%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$43.10
(+2%)
Market implied 1.2%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$28.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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