CHUNGHWA TELECOM (CHT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHT - CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO., LTD
$48.99
0.44 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
+0.99%
30d:
+7.55%
90d:
+15.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHT is currently trading at $48.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.79 to $48.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.2) compared to its historical average (28.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHT scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHT scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.79 -
$48.00
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.79 -
$48.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.26
Resistance Level
$49.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.24
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
31.2 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$52.58
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$54.47
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.2, Growth: 83.6%)
$50.23
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 83.6%)
$31.93
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 83.6%)
$27.14
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$51.06
(+4%)
Analyst growth -4.4%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case
$46.42
(-5%)
Market implied -4.4%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$33.01
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 31, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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