CHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHT - CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO., LTD
$41.44
-0.04 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
-5.19%
30d:
-9.91%
90d:
-1.78%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.40
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHT is currently trading at $41.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.92 to $45.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+16.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+16.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.92 -
$45.80
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.08)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.92 -
$45.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.30
Resistance Level
$45.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.43
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 27.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.15
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$40.86
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$40.58
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$41.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 83.6%)
$42.49
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 83.6%)
$35.01
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 83.6%)
$29.76
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 26.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.57
Bull Case
$45.53
(+10%)
Analyst growth -0.1%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$41.39
(0%)
Market implied -0.1%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case
$28.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 27.0
Stabilization Target:
$42.34
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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