CHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHT - CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO., LTD
$43.17
-0.21 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
+1.6%
30d:
+0.98%
90d:
-1.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CHT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.40
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHT is currently trading at $43.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.27 to $43.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.5) is in line with its historical norms (27.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $42.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+11.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $42.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.08 (+11.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.27 -
$43.05
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.27 -
$43.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.16
Resistance Level
$43.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.53
Wall Street Target
$48.08
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 27.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.43
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$43.69
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$43.95
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 83.6%)
$44.26
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 83.6%)
$32.23
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 83.6%)
$27.40
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$46.74
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$42.49
(-2%)
Market implied -2.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$29.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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