GHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHG - GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share
$1.19
-0.06 (-4.80%)
▼
5d:
+0.85%
30d:
-4.03%
90d:
-13.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GHG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GHG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.85
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHG is currently trading at $1.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.16 to $1.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.4) is in line with its historical norms (2.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.11, while resistance sits at $1.33. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: GHG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+202.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.11, while resistance sits at $1.33. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: GHG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+202.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$1.16 -
$1.25
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 202.5% below Wall St target ($3.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.16 -
$1.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.11
Resistance Level
$1.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.43
Wall Street Target
$3.60
(+202.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 2.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.14
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$1.10
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$1.06
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$1.17
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$2.45
(+91%)
Analyst growth 88.5%, PE expands to 5.0
Base Case
$2.22
(+74%)
Market implied 88.5%, PE stable at 4.5
Bear Case
$0.80
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.4 to 2.7
Stabilization Target:
$1.32
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 12:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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