GHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHG - GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share
$1.11
0.01 (0.91%)
â˛
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
-2.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GHG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GHG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.79
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHG is currently trading at $1.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.11 to $1.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.3) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 76.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHG scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+224.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHG scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+224.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1.11 -
$1.15
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 224.3% below Wall St target ($3.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.11 -
$1.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.08
Resistance Level
$1.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.27
Wall Street Target
$3.60
(+224.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.6%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.3 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.06
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$1.02
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$0.97
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$1.12
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.25
Bull Case
$2.37
(+114%)
Analyst growth 96.0%, PE expands to 4.8
Base Case
$2.16
(+94%)
Market implied 96.0%, PE stable at 4.4
Bear Case
$0.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$1.27
(+14.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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