GHG
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share
Hotels & Motels
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GHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1.03
-0.01 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
+5.4%
30d:
+8.13%
90d:
-7.21%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$0.95 – $1.01
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.1x
CHEAP
vs 2.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.60
+249.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$0.91 / $1.10
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.65
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHG is currently trading at $1.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.95 to $1.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (2.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.91, while resistance sits at $1.10.
Market Sentiment: GHG scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+249.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.91, while resistance sits at $1.10.
Market Sentiment: GHG scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+249.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$0.95 -
$1.01
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$0.95 -
$1.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$0.91
Resistance Level
$1.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 249.5% below Wall St target ($3.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.10
Wall Street Target
$3.60
(+249.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 2.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.98
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$0.93
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$0.88
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$1.01
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (104x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 104.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.01
Bull Case
$2.29
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 114.4
Base Case
$2.08
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 104.0
Bear Case
$0.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 88.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 2.4
Stabilization Target:
$1.18
(+14.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GHG)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Aug 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on GHG are bullish (sentiment score +0.98) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 1:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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