GHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHG - GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share
$0.99
0.00 (0.18%)
â˛
5d:
+5.19%
30d:
-2.5%
90d:
-10.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GHG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GHG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.72
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.07
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHG is currently trading at $0.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.96 to $1.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.0) compared to its historical average (2.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.91, while resistance sits at $1.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+262.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.91, while resistance sits at $1.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+262.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$0.96 -
$1.03
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 262.0% below Wall St target ($3.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.96 -
$1.03
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.91
Resistance Level
$1.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.03
Wall Street Target
$3.60
(+262.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.93
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$0.87
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$0.82
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$1.00
(+1%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (99x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 99.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.01
Bull Case
$2.18
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 109.2
Base Case
$1.99
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 99.3
Bear Case
$0.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 84.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 2.5
Stabilization Target:
$1.23
(+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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