GHG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHG - GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share
$1.03
0.00 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-4.54%
30d:
-5.41%
90d:
-9.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GHG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.79
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.11
7.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHG is currently trading at $1.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.06 to $1.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.99, while resistance sits at $1.10.
Market Sentiment: GHG scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+249.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.99, while resistance sits at $1.10.
Market Sentiment: GHG scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.60 (+249.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$1.06 -
$1.12
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 249.2% below Wall St target ($3.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$1.06 -
$1.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.99
Resistance Level
$1.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.10
Wall Street Target
$3.60
(+249.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.1 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.97
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$0.90
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$0.85
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$1.04
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.05
Bull Case
$2.27
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case
$2.06
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$0.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.1 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$1.27
(+23.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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