JHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JHX - James Hardie Industries plc
$24.28
-0.23 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
-3.54%
30d:
+16.67%
90d:
+24.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JHX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JHX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.28
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JHX is currently trading at $24.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.91 to $24.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JHX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.46 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JHX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.46 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.91 -
$24.51
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with 44.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.91 -
$24.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.82
Resistance Level
$23.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.76
Wall Street Target
$28.46
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.5%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 16.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.62
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$27.02
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$28.51
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$37.64
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$34.15
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$29.03
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.14
Bull Case
$29.32
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$24.28
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$18.57
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 9:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JHX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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