JHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JHX - James Hardie Industries plc
$24.91
0.40 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
-3.49%
30d:
+7.23%
90d:
+20.05%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
Get Alerted When JHX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JHX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JHX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.82
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JHX is currently trading at $24.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.23 to $25.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.46 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.46 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.23 -
$25.81
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.2% growth with 44.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.23 -
$25.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.82
Resistance Level
$23.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.95
Wall Street Target
$28.46
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.5%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 17.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.78
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$27.13
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$28.54
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$37.64
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.0%)
$34.48
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$29.31
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.10
Bull Case
$29.60
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$24.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$18.75
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 10, 2026 9:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JHX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Building Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CRH
CRH PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$144 | 51 HOLD |
|
VMC
Vulcan Materials Company |
BUY
23 analysts |
$327 | 56 HOLD |
|
MLM
Martin Marietta Material… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$682 | 55 HOLD |
|
CX
Cemex SAB de CV ADR |
BUY
15 analysts |
$14 | 49 HOLD |
|
KNF
Knife River Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$104 | 52 HOLD |
