JHX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JHX - James Hardie Industries plc
$30.34
0.14 (0.46%)
â˛
5d:
+3.58%
30d:
+13.8%
90d:
+41.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JHX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JHX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 11.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.44
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JHX is currently trading at $30.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.19 to $30.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.28, while resistance sits at $31.36.
Market Sentiment: JHX scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.43 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JHX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.28, while resistance sits at $31.36.
Market Sentiment: JHX scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.43 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$26.19 -
$30.47
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.43)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.19 -
$30.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.28
Resistance Level
$31.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 25, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.69
Wall Street Target
$35.43
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 18.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.71
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$37.45
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$41.61
(+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.33
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$42.68
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$34.65
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$29.46
(-3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 22.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.35
Bull Case
$36.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.6
Base Case
$30.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$23.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 26, 2026 4:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JHX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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