MRCC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRCC - Monroe Capital Corporation
$5.08
0.11 (2.21%)
â˛
5d:
+4.53%
30d:
+9.96%
90d:
-21.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MRCC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MRCC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.05
Based on -8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRCC is currently trading at $5.08, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRCC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.44, while resistance sits at $5.34.
Market Sentiment: MRCC scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+57.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRCC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.44, while resistance sits at $5.34.
Market Sentiment: MRCC scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+57.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
81.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MRCC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.5% below Wall St target ($8.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -41.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.44
Resistance Level
$5.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.81
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(+57.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-41.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.3%
Profit Margin
-13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$5.26
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$5.36
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -20.6%)
$4.05
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: -20.6%)
$3.70
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: -20.6%)
$3.15
(-38%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRCC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MRCC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRCC price and gamma walls.
