FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$96.33
-0.69 (-0.71%)
▼
5d:
+1.36%
30d:
+5.5%
90d:
-37.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.27
40.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $96.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.73 to $99.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (1.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $88.78, while resistance sits at $117.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.79 (+61.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $88.78, while resistance sits at $117.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.79 (+61.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$93.73 -
$99.50
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.7% below Wall St target ($155.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$93.73 -
$99.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.78
Resistance Level
$117.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.00
Wall Street Target
$155.79
(+61.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.7%
Profit Margin
45.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$78.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$70.22
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$97.83
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.7%)
$5108.08
(+5203%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 34.7%)
$235.69
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.9, Growth: 34.7%)
$200.34
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.19
Bull Case
$213.44
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$194.04
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$65.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.4
Stabilization Target:
$134.20
(+39.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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