FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$105.12
1.70 (1.64%)
▲
5d:
+5.8%
30d:
+5.2%
90d:
-31.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.27
35.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $105.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.62 to $102.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.1) compared to its historical average (1.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.14, while resistance sits at $110.18.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.70 (+48.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.14, while resistance sits at $110.18.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.70 (+48.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$95.62 -
$102.13
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.1% below Wall St target ($155.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.62 -
$102.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.14
Resistance Level
$110.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.10
Wall Street Target
$155.70
(+48.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.7%
Profit Margin
45.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.1 vs 1.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.45
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$90.33
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$83.74
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$106.90
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 34.7%)
$4861.82
(+4525%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.1, Growth: 34.7%)
$257.20
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.9, Growth: 34.7%)
$218.62
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.17
Bull Case
$227.52
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$206.84
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$70.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.1 to 1.4
Stabilization Target:
$134.20
(+27.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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