Futu (FUTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$114.32
0.27 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
+5.15%
30d:
-7.54%
90d:
+16.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.17
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.61
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $114.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.93 to $122.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.2) is in line with its historical norms (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.21, while resistance sits at $119.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.89 (+41.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.21, while resistance sits at $119.27.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.89 (+41.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$109.93 -
$122.04
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.1% below Wall St target ($160.89)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.93 -
$122.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.21
Resistance Level
$119.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.18
Wall Street Target
$160.89
(+41.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Profit Margin
46.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.2 vs 1.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.37
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$104.89
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$100.59
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$111.05
(-3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.8%)
$3809.18
(+3240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 24.8%)
$221.50
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.0, Growth: 24.8%)
$188.28
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.02
Bull Case
$246.42
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$224.02
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$76.17
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.2 to 1.3
Stabilization Target:
$125.91
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 4:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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