MU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MU - Micron Technology, Inc.
$1049.29
-2.48 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
+2.79%
30d:
+39.72%
90d:
+165.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 24, 2026
0d
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Smart Money Distribution
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Strength: 10.0/10
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3 traders called MU this week
67% bullish • 1 bearish
67% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2113.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1312.15
20.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MU is currently trading at $1049.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $799.08 to $1078.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 756.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $854.35, while resistance sits at $1213.56.
Market Sentiment: MU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $945.60. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $854.35, while resistance sits at $1213.56.
Market Sentiment: MU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $945.60. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$799.08 -
$1078.73
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.1% above Wall St target ($945.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$799.08 -
$1078.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$854.35
Resistance Level
$1213.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.92
Wall Street Target
$945.60
(-10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
196.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
756.0%
Profit Margin
41.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1040.20
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$1028.76
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$1017.44
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$1049.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 93.3%)
$8670.50
(+724%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 93.3%)
$3549.72
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 93.3%)
$3017.27
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 11.25 | Forward EPS (Implied): $93.50
Bull Case
$1270.01
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$1051.77
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$804.60
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$1085.18
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 10:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
9
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sumit Sadana
SELL
24000 shares
2026-04-10
April S Arnzen
SELL
40000 shares
2026-04-01
John Fetterman
BUY
2026-03-30
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