UAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$128.39
7.06 (5.82%)
▲
5d:
+6.49%
30d:
-3.7%
90d:
+38.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
Get Alerted When UAL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$225.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.24
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAL is currently trading at $128.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.05 to $131.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $130.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.15 (+26.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $130.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.15 (+26.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$118.05 -
$131.75
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($162.15)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 16.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.05 -
$131.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.62
Resistance Level
$130.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.30
Wall Street Target
$162.15
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$133.01
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$137.80
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$142.76
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$128.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 49.3%)
$1066.40
(+731%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 49.3%)
$427.11
(+233%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 49.3%)
$363.04
(+183%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.68
Bull Case
$193.25
(+51%)
Analyst growth 44.8%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$175.68
(+37%)
Market implied 44.8%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$82.50
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Top Rated Airlines Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Airlines by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$106 | 59 HOLD |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group |
BUY
26 analysts |
$19 | 53 HOLD |
|
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$63 | 58 HOLD |
|
CPA
Copa Holdings SA |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$175 | 54 HOLD |
|
VLRS
Volaris |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$9 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced UAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UAL price and gamma walls.
