American International Group (AIG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIG - American International Group, Inc.
$77.65
-0.05 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
+3.38%
30d:
+1.78%
90d:
+1.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AIG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AIG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.89
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIG is currently trading at $77.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.44 to $76.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.80 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.80 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.44 -
$76.53
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.44 -
$76.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.21
Resistance Level
$78.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.83
Wall Street Target
$87.80
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.1%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$76.88
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$76.49
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$77.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%)
$225.24
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$100.11
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 8.8%)
$85.10
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.41
Bull Case
$138.97
(+79%)
Analyst growth 62.6%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$126.34
(+63%)
Market implied 62.6%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$52.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$79.17
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AIG price and gamma walls.
