AMBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMBA - Ambarella, Inc. Ordinary Shares
$67.83
-1.55 (-2.23%)
▼
5d:
-4.17%
30d:
-17.96%
90d:
-13.46%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.87
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMBA is currently trading at $67.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.68 to $82.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 101.2) is in line with its historical norms (103.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMBA scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+40.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMBA scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+40.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$69.68 -
$82.33
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMBA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($95.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 12% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.68 -
$82.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.66
Resistance Level
$75.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
101.15
Wall Street Target
$95.00
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-17.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
101.2 vs 103.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.29
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$66.75
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$66.22
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 101→104)
$67.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 101.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$96.67
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$19.21
(-72%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$16.33
(-76%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 101.1 to 103.5
Stabilization Target:
$69.41
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 3:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Alexander Young
SELL
1971 shares
2026-04-21
Chan W Lee
SELL
3641 shares
2026-03-19
Chi-Hong Ju
SELL
2155 shares
2026-03-19
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Advanced AMBA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMBA price and gamma walls.
