LKQ (LKQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$22.36
0.54 (2.47%)
▲
5d:
+1.59%
30d:
-2.78%
90d:
-11.9%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $22.40 · last confirmed Oct 12, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LKQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LKQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.99
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.07
14.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $22.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.26 to $23.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.23, while resistance sits at $23.14.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.12 (+43.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $21.23, while resistance sits at $23.14.
Market Sentiment: LKQ scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.12 (+43.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$22.26 -
$23.78
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($32.12)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.26 -
$23.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.24
Resistance Level
$23.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.29
Wall Street Target
$32.13
(+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.0%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.11
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$19.93
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$18.81
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$22.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$92.96
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 15.1%)
$34.11
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 15.1%)
$28.99
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.80
Bull Case
$41.59
(+91%)
Analyst growth 70.5%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$37.81
(+73%)
Market implied 70.5%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$15.08
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$26.70
(+19.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 15, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LKQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LKQ price and gamma walls.
