LKQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$25.42
0.22 (0.87%)
â˛
5d:
+2.25%
30d:
-2.27%
90d:
-2.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LKQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LKQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.38
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.94
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $25.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.06 to $25.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+27.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.06 -
$25.98
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LKQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($32.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.06 -
$25.98
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.78
Resistance Level
$25.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.22
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.0%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.76
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$24.12
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$23.49
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$25.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$95.58
(+276%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$38.84
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$33.01
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$46.84
(+84%)
Analyst growth 69.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$42.58
(+68%)
Market implied 69.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$17.14
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$27.52
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 16, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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